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Letter From The Editor: The Wheel of Fortune

Christian Gulliksen

March 1, 2005

Hang around a car buff long enough and you’ll have a conversation about Road & Track classifieds from the 1960s and ’70s, how “used” Ferrari GTOs were advertised for paltry figures such as $7,000; now defined as “classics,” the cars fetch millions at auction. These glimpses into opportunities lost inevitably inspire thoughts of shoulda, woulda, coulda. The same is true of real estate. In the early 1960s, a relative of mine considered buying a waterfront house built atop a low, craggy bluff in Newport Beach, Calif. Its main attraction was an expansive 90-foot-long living room positioned right above the surf, but its price of $150,000 was not an insubstantial sum. He decided against making the purchase, which is unfortunate, as the house would sell for several million dollars today. No doubt you have been in a similar situation; congratulations if you did buy the place.

Is it possible that we will look back on 2005 as an era of relative bargains? Conventional wisdom says that we are near the top of the real estate market, that factors such as rising interest rates will slow the exponentially compounding home values we’ve seen in the last few years. But in Home Sweet Home, Bob Morris examines markets around the United States that have the potential for continued gains. New York and Los Angeles predictably make the cut, but so do some wild cards such as the Carolina Corridor and Florida’s Orlando-Tampa region.

Or perhaps it will be returns on Canadian investments that provide cocktail party anecdotes in the coming decades. Samantha Brooks examines Hollywood’s discovery of Vancouver, Montreal and Toronto on page 46 and says many Americans are learning what directors and producers already know: You not only get more for your money in Canada, you get it with a favorable exchange rate.

I hope whoever bought those Ferraris 40 years ago enjoyed their $7,000 used cars, with their meteoric rise in value coming as an unexpected—and welcome—perk. In the same way, I hope you love the house you live in. And should the wheel of fortune reward you with equity beyond your wildest expectations, so much the better.

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